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of Prince Edward County Ontario

 

 

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NOTE: Web page under construction.  Watch out for typos and glitches.

 

Global / Local Issues

 

Be informed; spend a few minutes daily at www.safewatergroup.org, with relevant newspaper headlines and news clips from near and far.

 

 

Overview

In 1972, the Club of Rome published a controversial report call, Limits to Growth. In it they coined the phrase “the Human Predicament”.  In simple terms, the predicament is that planet Earth is finite and therefore renewable resources are limited. Yet we govern ourselves as if this most fundamental fact did not exist. Another way of looking at this phenomenon is what we call the Paradigm Paradox. 

 

A wide variety of issues blend together in a dynamic interactive fashion, making it difficult to point to any one fundamental problem. The last para of the Limits to Growth summery referenced above, states:

 

The two missing ingredients are a realistic, long-term goal that can guide mankind to the equilibrium society and the human will to achieve that goal. Without such a goal and a commitment to it, short-term concerns will generate the exponential growth that drives the world system toward the limits of the earth and ultimate collapse.

 

Today there is no shared vision of a sustainable global future. And so today’s governments follow the now unrealistic quest for everlasting growth, This idea is conveyed by the phrase, our Paradigm Paradox.

 

Paradigm Paradox

     * The main policy objective of governments is economic growth.
     * Today's level of economic activity, with associated
         human population and natural resource throughput,
         is already beyond that which planet Earth can sustain.
     * Therefore, in self-destructive fashion, we undermine the

        future well being of humans and the stability of nature.

Our simplified definitions of these terms are:
Dominant Paradigm: prevailing world view: social, political, economic.
Paradox: self-contradictory, ironic, essentially absurd idea.
Paradigm Shift: the change of world view within a community to one that is more inclusive and integrated.
Paradigm Paralysis: opposition to a needed paradigm shift manifesting in such behaviours as denial, avoidance, or anger.
 

      ~Detailed definitions at Wikipedia~

 

The appendix section below contains a few links to relevant web pages that deal with the growth issue.

 

Below are a few brief comments on some of the interactive subjects which combine to form the roots of the human predicament. 

 

Human Nature

Homo sapiens means the smart hominid.  While humans have a wide margin of brilliant reasoning power over our gorilla and chimpanzee cousins, we retain many characteristics that cloud our ability to deal with large scale, complex issues that are outside the scope of our genetic programming, such as our collective well being in the somewhat distant future. 

 

The Paradigm Paradox is reinforced by well-known psychological characteristics that prevent sociopolitical corrections, such as: cognitive dissonance, group think, addiction, denial, issue avoidance, short-term-thinking, self-interest and others. 

 

This mix enables us to hold deeply rooted beliefs that may have been reasonable at one time, but as times and conditions change, these beliefs resist adapting to the new physical realities. Beliefs can relate to a specific religion, or an economic philosophy, or a nationalistic fervor.

The Appendix section provides some psychology web references.

 

 

Energy

Energy flow makes all things happen, from your body heat, to travel, to weather conditions. Energy flow is one key element of the human predicament. We know that overgrowth and die-off occur in any species that finds a friendly niche that serves as an escape from nature’s normal carrying-capacity. Our niche was the discovery of fossil fuels centuries ago. This set in motion the human growth trajectory, graphically shown below: we humans will have to collectively decide what comes next.

PopGraphDC.jpg

 

This graph relates to three dilemmas, population growth, peak oil and the dire consequence of fossil fuel use to date, global warming.

 

Our separate page on energy deals with both global energy issues and the current debate in Prince Edward County where wind energy development is knocking at our door.  Some residents are alarmed.  Others welcome the renewable opportunity.  Visit our Energy Page.

 

 

Human Population

As the graph above shows, recent global population has grown at an astonishing rate: from one billion in 1927 to 6.7 billion today.  This glaring anomaly should raise alarm bells in every corner of the world. 

 

But to date, our human nature plus many established beliefs and social structures within today’s paradigm prevent us from taking appropriate action in this vital area.  Indeed, the subject is still avoided by most politicians and even shunned by many of the world’s leading environmental movements.

 

For many years academics and some others have warned us about the danger: see Paul Ehrlich’s,The Population Bomb. Fortunately, more and more people are joining NGOs that attempt to bring this issue to people’s attention. See the appendix for more information.

 

 

Economics

In recent decades open-minded inquirers have speculated that the economic/monetary system is seriously flawed.  Although there have been many changes to the money supply and the economic philosophy surrounding it, each change seems take the system further from any form of recognition that economics and human-activity are a subset of nature and Earth’s fragile web of life. 

 

Historically, prior to the burst of economic growth bubbles, the rich have gotten much richer, and the poorer.  This has become especially noticeable in the past decade.

Economic reference data in the appendix.

 

 

 

 

<<< Appendix >>>

 

Psychological

cognitive dissonance,

“Dissonance and consonance are relations among cognitions that is, among opinions, beliefs, knowledge of the environment, and knowledge of one's own actions and feelings. Two opinions, or beliefs, or items of knowledge are dissonant with each other if they do not fit together; that is, if they are inconsistent, or if, considering only the particular two items, one does not follow from the other (Festinger 1956: 25).”

 

 group think,

“Groupthink, a term coined by social psychologist Irving Janis (1972), occurs when a group makes faulty decisions because group pressures lead to a deterioration of “mental efficiency, reality testing, and moral judgment” (p. 9).  Groups affected by groupthink ignore alternatives and tend to take irrational actions that dehumanize other groups.  A group is especially vulnerable to groupthink when its members are similar in background, when the group is insulated from outside opinions, and when there are no clear rules for decision making.”

 

denial,

“An unconscious defense mechanism characterized by refusal to acknowledge painful realities, thoughts, or feelings.”

 

issue avoidance,

“In avoidance, we simply find ways of avoiding having to face uncomfortable situations, things or activities. The discomfort, for example, may come from unconscious sexual or aggressive impulses.”

 

short-term-thinking,

“Short term thinking dooms social progress…”

 

deep rooted beliefs.  

“The relationship between belief and knowledge is subtle. Believers in a claim typically say that they know that claim. For instance, those who believe that the Sun is a god will often report that they know that the Sun is a god. However, the terms belief and knowledge are used differently by philosophers. And it a telling point concerning the nature of belief that most people distinguish between what they know and what they believe, even though they consider both kinds of statements to be true.”

 

 

 

Growth in Human Activity

While last century’s astonishing growth in global population was physically enabled by the energy from fossil fuel, many elements blended together into a social, economic and political mould that shapes today’s paradigm.

 

HAGrowth.jpg

 

Many physical realities tell us growth will soon end. One of the clearest descriptions is by The Global Footprint Network where measurements tell us that Ecological Debt Day comes earlier every year: On September 23, 2008, humans started deficit spending Nature’s capital resources. Next year it will be a few days earlier.
http://www.footprintnetwork.org/gfn_sub.php?content=overshoot

 

In this graph peak oil is incorporate into the mix of trajectories. Various researchers have endorsed this depiction of our situation, yet

Peak2006.JPG

We are still trapped in our growth paradigm paradox.

 

 

"GDP is obsolete", Roy Romanow former Premier of Saskatchewan leads a team to find realistic progress indicators: 

http://www.atkinsonfoundation.ca/ciw/SkinnedFolder_1191351930387


Margaret Atwood says that voluntarily ending economic growth is the key to a bright future:
http://ecologicalcrash.blogspot.com/2009/01/margaret-atwood-says-ending-economic.html 

 

"The Growth Syndrome" by Don Chisholm, presented at the Fourth Interdisciplinary Conference On The Evolution of World Order, October 2004 at Ryerson University.
http://www.safewatergroup.org/Big%20Picture/Big_picture5.htm

 

 

 

Population

 

JAlbertPopPix.jpg

The drawing is an email footer of Jack Alpert, Laboratory Director, Stanford Knowledge Integration Laboratory (SKIL) Stanford, California.  See his websight at http://www.skil.org/

 

 

“The carrying capacity of a biological species in an environment is the population size of the species that the environment can sustain in the long term, given the food, habitat, water and other necessities available in the environment. For the human population, more complex variables such as sanitation and medical care are sometimes considered as part of the necessary infrastructure.”  http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Carrying_capacity

 

Ontario Government’s EV commissioner:

“Ontario's Environment Commissioner, Gordon Miller, has challenged the provincial government's plans to accommodate an additional 4.4 to 6 million people for Ontario over the next 25 years. He is to be congratulated for taking this action, says Immigration Watch Canada.”

 

Bill Ryerson’s Population Media Center works worldwide using entertainment-education for social change. PMC’s programs encourage positive behavior change among the audience.


Sheila Newman's great web of information about the growth paradox.  It has an Australian perspective, but many issues are very much like Canadian issues.  See the population fact sheet: http://candobetter.org/population/FactSheets


Population growth during the current era and the rapid acceleration since the oil era are illustrated in an 8 minute Youtube video:
http://ca.youtube.com/watch?v=4BbkQiQyaYc

 


Growthbusters is a site that challenges the myth of the need for growth using videos and articles. See the clip from a documentary called Hooked on Growth: Our Misguided Quest for Prosperity.
http://growthbusters.com/



Monetary/Economic Issues

 

“Don't Fix the Economy, Change It!” by Peter G. Brown & Geoffrey Garver, professors at McGill and Laval respectively.  
"The ecological budget, on which all life and, consequently, the human economy depends, is already in dramatic deficit. Why is this budget ultimately more important than the fiscal budget? Sept. 23, 2008, was Earth Overshoot Day. The period after Sept. 23 represents the time the human population causes an ecological deficit, using up the Earth faster than it can regenerate...  Sticking with the model that is driving us toward ecological catastrophe will eventually kill us."
See http://www.thestar.com/comment/article/557976/


Congressman Kucinich describes the economic and monetary crisis for one hour on the floor of the House of Representatives.

"Dennis Kucinich States his intention to put the Federal Reserve Under Government Control."  See: http://cspanjunkie.org/?p=1724  
A one minute version at: http://votersthink.org/?p=1073


Book: Agenda for a New Economy: From Phantom Wealth to Real Wealth, by David Korten.
“In a Democracy Now intervew Korten argues that the nation faces a monumental economic challenge that goes far beyond anything being discussed in Congress.  "Phantom wealth" is money created from nothing. Wall St. considers phantom growth as real wealth but it is all an imaginary bubble that has popped. “
http://www.democracynow.org/2009/1/26/david_korten_agenda_for_a_new


"Payback And Debt: The Shadow Side of Wealth", by Margaret Atwood, is about economic and ecological debt.  Atwood says ending economic growth voluntarily is key to a bright future.
http://ecologicalcrash.blogspot.com/2009/01/margaret-atwood-says-ending-economic.html


The Center for the Advancement of a Steady State Economy (CASSE) is a growing organization that promotes zero or less economic growth.
The mission of CASSE is to advance the steady state economy, with stabilized population and consumption, as a policy goal with widespread public support. See their news clips on the subject:
http://www.steadystate.org/CASSENewsEvents.html

 

 

 

Global Warming issues

Hot Earth.JPG

"The Grim Reality." (From the Exeter Conference on Climate Change).
"At a high-level academic conference on global warming at Exeter University this summer, climate scientist Kevin Anderson stood before his expert audience and contemplated a strange feeling. He wanted to be wrong. Many of those in the room who knew what he was about to say felt the same. His conclusions had already caused a stir in scientific and political circles. Even committed green campaigners said the implications left them terrified."
http://www.guardian.co.uk/environment/2008/dec/09/poznan-copenhagen-global-warming-targets-climate-change


In a new video Al Gore presents evidence that the pace of climate change may be even worse than scientists were recently predicting, and challenges us to act with a sense of "generational mission" - the kind of feeling that brought forth the civil rights movement - to set it right. Gore's stirring presentation is followed by a brief Q&A in which he is asked for his verdict on the current political candidates' climate policies and on what role he himself might play in future.”
Watch this video  http://www.ted.com/index.php/talks/view/id/243


"Global Warming Is Irreversible." Report by Richard Harris of National Public Radio.  "Turning off the carbon dioxide emissions won't stop global warming. People have imagined that if we stopped emitting carbon dioxide that the climate would go back to normal in 100 years or 200 years. What we're showing here is that's not right. It's essentially an irreversible change that will last for more than a thousand years... "
http://www.npr.org/templates/story/story.php?storyId=99888903

 

 

 

 

Big Picture Analyses

 

"What to do in a failing civilization," by David Delaney, Ottawa.

"Can global civilization adapt successfully to degradation of the biosphere and depletion of fossil fuels?  I argue that it cannot. Important elements of all constituent societies would have to be reformed. Reform would have to be radical and would be uncertain of success. It could be undertaken only in the presence of incontrovertible necessity: a necessity that will reveal itself incontrovertibly only when catastrophic collapse has become unavoidable. I conclude that those who seek to preserve civilization should plan for its survival in restricted regions."
From, The Proceedings of CACOR (Canadian Association for the Club of Rome).  See: http://geocities.com/davidmdelaney/what-to-do-in-a-failing-civilization.html


"Obama and the Return of the Real" by Jonathan Schell, the Harold Willens Peace Fellow at The Nation Institute.  

Schell teaches a course on the nuclear dilemma at Yale. He is the author of, The Seventh Decade: The New Shape of Nuclear Danger, an unblinking assessment of the dilemmas facing the whole world at this hour. He writes, "The contemporary crises are interwoven, forming a kind of Gordian knot."
Go to http://www.thenation.com/doc/20090209/schell/print



Energy Paradigm Shift

 

"Sustainable Energy: Shifting the Paradigm:

An Idea Whose Time Has Come" by Alice Slater. 

"Today's dominant world energy systems, relying on fossil, nuclear and biofuels, endanger the very existence of humanity. The world is faced with a crisis that requires a total transformation in the way we create energy, shifting to sustainable energy that flows freely from the sun, the wind, the tides, and the center of the earth. Accelerating weather catastrophes - tsunamis, hurricanes, drought, the melting of the polar ice caps - underline the urgency to heed the scientific consensus that we are endangering our very survival on the planet with the continued use of carbon-based fuels."
http://www.energysustainability.nl/ALICE/index.html


"Putin's Grasp on Energy Drives Russian Agenda" by Andrew Kramer. 

"For the past 40 years access to energy has been a hidden driver of global geopolitical agenda, including wars.  The energy issue is no longer hidden, as described in this NY Times article, which outlines how Russia's future power of energy for sale is of greater importance than military power. "
http://www.nytimes.com/2009/01/29/world/europe/29putin.html?th&emc=th 


Go to CSG Energy section for more on energy.

 


A story for all age levels is the ever-popular Story of Stuff, a great short video about buying things we really don't need, about excess packaging and waste. It brings home some global issues to a personal level.
See: http://www.storyofstuff.com/

 

These data will be changed from time to time.

 

 

 

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